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May 11th, 2011

The internet has changed many things and gambling is another one, now it’s possible to play play online roulette in the comfort of your own home. Of course this brings with it other issues not one being the accessibility and the danger of people thinking that they can make their living from gambling.

A lot of us true gamblers would likely like to find a guaranteed roulette winning strategy and there’s no shortage claiming this all over the internet. Usually they will can be found in extremely expensive documents or reports but just as likely discovered free of charge on a simple web page leading to a casino site. In fact there’s a very high probability that the tactic you buy will simply be the martingale strategy or at least some simple variant of it.

The Martingale system was first used by French and German gamblers in the eighteenth century so by now there are lots of, many variances. The absolute most basic version though I’m sure you’ll have come across before. The idea is best explained by analysing a straightforward toss of the coin – you bet on heads initially and if you lose you continue to back ‘heads’ but double your stake every time.This in theory would eventually result in a win and a recover of all the previous stakes.

However in reality because the stake requirements escalate so rapidly then you will often end up with a huge loss.

The Martingale strategy is actually extremely loosely based on a numerical assumption known as the “Gamblers Fallacy” which essentially concludes that past occurrences can affect future results. Or in to explain in English if heads originates up to 10 times in a row – the next toss is more likely to come up tails – this I am afraid is not true as the previous 10 results don’t have any bearing on the next toss at all. Even when the ball on a casino wheel landed in red twenty-five times consecutively – the chances are still 50/50 (minus the 0 or house edge) on the next spin.

Even if you actually believe in the martingale system or several of it’s strange variants – it would be difficult to apply these days as even if you could afford it the majority of casinos have limits on each bet that would prevent it. Most casinos haven’t actively discouraged using Martingale though as they quite simply don’t lose by it. Each roulette winning tactic ought to be studied in the cold light of statistics prior to deciding to invest any money on it.

Of course statistics can only really be applied to the above situations where an event is truly random – the spin of a live roulette wheel has so many outside factors affecting it that it extremely close to being completely random. An online roulette wheel is a different matter though as the spin is controlled by a computer.

Computers have always had a problem generating random numbers purely because they are programmed and so are always following deterministic code. All online casinos are run via computer algorithms and therefore are only as random as the underlying software.